Early warning systems: A survey and a regime-switching approach, 2003. ,
Financial globalisation and crisis, institutional transformation and equity, Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol.34, pp.225-238, 2010. ,
The global financial crisis: explaining cross-country differences in the output impact, 2009. ,
Is the crisis problem growing more severe?, Economic Policy, vol.16, 2001. ,
Evaluation du risque de crise bancaire, 2002. ,
Asset prices, financial and monetary stability: exploring the Nexus, Monetary end Economic Department, BIS Working Papers, vol.114, 2002. ,
How good are leading indicators for currency and banking crises in central and eastern Europe? an empirical test, IWH Discussion Papers n°95, 1999. ,
Crises de change et indicateurs de vulnérabilité, Revue Economie Internationale, p.76, 1998. ,
Contagion, monsoons, and domestic turmoil in Indonesia,s currency crisis, Review of International Economics, vol.10, pp.36-44, 2002. ,
Les marchés mondiaux, Cyclope, pp.51-109, 1998. ,
Les marchés mondiaux, Cyclope, pp.21-43, 1999. ,
Les marchés mondiaux, Edition Economica, pp.57-66, 2001. ,
Les marchés mondiaux, Cyclope, pp.35-51, 2002. ,
Financial fragility and the exchange rate regime, Journal of economic theory, vol.92, pp.1-34, 2000. ,
La croissance a trouvé ses limites, pp.7-16, 2008. ,
Does risk aversion drive financial crises? Testing the predictive power of empirical indicators, Journal of Empirical Finance, vol.15, issue.2, pp.167-184, 2008. ,
, Crises financières: deux ou trois choses que nous savons d'elles, 2003.
Financial liberalization and financial fragility, 1998. ,
The determinants of banking crises in developing and developed countries, IMF Staff Paper, vol.45, p.1, 1998. ,
Monitoring banking sector fragility: a multivariate logit approach, The World Bank Economic Review, vol.14, pp.287-307, 2000. ,
Currency crises and collapses, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, issue.2, pp.219-293, 1995. ,
Do indicators of financial crises work? An evaluation of an early warning system, International Journal of Finance and Economics, vol.8, pp.11-53, 2003. ,
Exchange market mayhem: the antecedents and aftermath of speculative attacks, Economic policy, vol.10, pp.249-312, 1995. ,
Perspectives de l'économie mondiale: crises financières causes et indicateurs, 1998. ,
Modelling currency crises in emerging markets: A dynamic probit model with unobserved heterogeneity and autocorrelated errors, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol.68, pp.445-471, 2006. ,
Collapsing exchange rate regimes: some linear examples, Journal of International Economics, vol.17, pp.1-13, 1984. ,
Contractionary currency crashes in developing countries, The Fifth Mundell-Fleming Lecture, IMF Annual Research Conference, 2005. ,
Currency crashes in emerging markets: empirical indicators, 1996. ,
Currency crashes in emerging markets: an empirical treatment, Journal of International Economics, vol.41, pp.351-366, 1996. ,
Are leading indicators of financial crises useful for assessing country vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 global crisis, 2010. ,
Managing macroeconomic crises: policy lessons, Draft Chapter for: Managing Volatility and Crises A Practitioner's Guide, 2004. ,
What causes currency crises: sunspots, contagion or fundamentals?, 1999. ,
Structural vulnerabilities and currency crises, IMF Staff Paper, vol.50, p.3, 2003. ,
Capital flows and the twin crises: The role of liquidity, 1997. ,
Assessing financial vulnerability: an early warning system for emerging markets, 2000. ,
Mexique: régime de change et intégration monétaire dans l'ALENA" Continentalisation, Cahier de recherche, vol.1, 2001. ,
Currency crises: Are they all the same?, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol.25, pp.503-527, 2006. ,
The twin crises: the causes of banking and balance of payments problems, The American Economic Review, vol.89, pp.473-500, 1999. ,
Leading indicators of currency crises, IMF Staff Papers, vol.45, pp.1-48, 1998. ,
A model of balance of payments crises, journal of money, credit and banking, vol.11, pp.311-325, 1979. ,
, , 1998.
Balance sheets, the transfer problem, and financial crises, 1999. ,
The return of depression economics and the crisis of, 2008. ,
, Crises Financières Internationales et Risque Systémique, 2003.
Current account reversals and currency crises: empirical regularities, 1998. ,
libéralisation financière, spéculation et crises bancaires, Revue Economie Internationale, p.85, 2001. ,
The logic of currency crises, 1994. ,
Financial stability, the trilemma, and international reserves, 2008. ,
Financial instability, reserves, and central bank swap lines in the panic of, 2008. ,
Latin America and the global financial crisis, Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol.33, pp.703-724, 2009. ,
A regime-switching approach to the study of speculative attacks: A focus on EMS crises, Empirical Economics, vol.27, pp.299-334, 2002. ,
The anatomy of a multiple crisis: why was Argentina special and what can we learn from it, The World, 2002. ,
The onset of the east Asian financial crisis, 1998. ,
From financial crash to debt crisis, 2010. ,
, Cross-country causes and consequences of the 2008 crisis: early warning" NBER Working Paper n°15357, 2009.
Financial crises in emerging markets: the lessons from 1995, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, issue.1, pp.147-215, 1996. ,
Stochastic optimal control modeling of debt crises" CESIFO working paper n°.1043, category 6: Monetary Policy and International Finance, septembre, 2003. ,
A tale of two debt crises: a stochastic optimal control analysis" CESIFO working paper n°.2220, category 5: Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics end Growth, 2008. ,
Application of stochastic optimal control to financial market debt crises" CESIFO working paper n°.2539, category 6: Monetary Policy and International Finance, 2009. ,
Asian crises: Theory, evidence, warning-signals, CESIFO working paper n°.1159, category 6: Monetary Policy and International Finance, mars, 2004. ,